Epiphany Time
April 24, 2017
By:
The Mogambo Guru
Which is not to mention, of course, watching for family members sneaking
up on me, each variously wanting me to give them money, take them
somewhere, or (shudder) do something useful.
In such moments, I idly begin to wistfully remember the good old days of
blissful naiveté about economics, which is before I found out about the
Austrian school of economics, which led me to completely comprehend the
unbelievable Keynesian econometric insanity -- insanity, I tells ya! -- of
excessively expanding a fiat currency, especially over an extended time.
And I remember suddenly realizing, with a blood-curdling shriek of
transcendental horror, how this -- yes, this! – “excess money” thing is
going to destroy everything, engendering the famous-yet-pithy phrase We’re
Freaking Doomed (WFD).
Oh, naysayers always shouted hurtful things like “Shut up, you idiot
Mogambo jerk!” and “Daddy, I can’t hear the TV with you acting loud and
weird about the evil Federal Reserve again!”, yet I know this WFD thing
for a fact - for a fact! - because big, long-term increases in the money
supply has always destroyed every other dirtbag, low-IQ nation in history
that ever, ever, EVER tried, or even allowed, such (how shall I delicately
phrase this, perhaps with a gratuitous-yet-stupid alliterative twist?)
simply stupendously staggering stupidity.
I mean, today we have complete access to the entire corpus of data and
historical facts about economics stretching back to the Garden of Eden
when a snake loaned Eve an apple, and we have Mises.org happily
dispensing, for free, the eternal wisdom of the Austrian school of
economics, and yet we let lowlife Keynesians dictate a monetary policy of
constant expansion and outright monetizing of government debt, despite
knowing all of this? Are you freaking kidding me?
And then using the newly-created credit to actually buy government debt
(monetizing debt)? Are you freaking kidding me?
And now there are an increasing number of anecdotal rumors of central
banks creating the money to actually buy equities and commercial debt to
keep stock markets up? What
the #*! &%?
At the risk of repeating myself, again I ask, but with a more strident,
hysterical undertone of soul-searing trauma to my prolonged, pitiful wail
of dismay, “ARE YOU FREAKING KIDDING ME?”
The good news? The only way this can be good news is that, I admit, I was
wrong when I once foolishly anticipated that we would be destroyed by huge
radioactive dinosaurs that angrily shoot laser beams (zzzzt!) out of their
eyes and rockets (whoosh!) that shoot out of their mouths. Probably with
Tokyo the first to go. You heard it here first, in case it actually does
happen.
But mostly I think back to my mortal terror and complete overreaction to
even the teensiest, weensiest increases in the money supply, because it
eventually causes inflation in consumer prices, which is always, always
Bad Bad News (BBN).
But in my sloppy, self-pitying solitude here in the top-secret MBOPAD, I
have had to time to think, and thus have epiphanies, clearly showing where
I made my mistakes about so many things.
So many, many things.
For one thing, and more to the point of this stupid-yet-meandering cry for
help, I did not comprehend the sheer, incomprehensible, awesome power of a
unfettered fiat currency created literally without any limit whatsoever,
especially so with a willing government to encourage it, or even pass
legislation that mandates it, and a central bank not only fiendishly
creating the excess cash and credit, but using it to buy assets to create
scarcity, and thus higher prices!!!!!
I sense a ripple in The Force as Junior Mogambo Rangers (JMRs) around the
world, and throughout the cosmos, instantly recognize to their collective
horror that the use of five exclamation points as punctuation is a clever
Secret Mogambo Code (SMC), used in this case to indicate an overwhelming
emphasis.
Or, in keeping with the trend in punctuation, an overwhelming
emphasis!!!!!
With such unfettered torrents of cash and credit cascading into the
economy vis the evil Federal Reserve creating it willy-nilly and using it
to buy stuff, it is but child’s play for them to elevate prices in the
housing market, the bond market, the stock market, the incomprehensibly
huge derivatives markets, and any other market you can name. All it takes
is more cash.
Inflation by any other name…
And, of course, it would again bail out the damned banks, which are
theoretically on the hook for all that crushing debt, and simultaneously
giving banks the opportunity to loan MORE money to those wishing to cash
in on the inflationary bonanza.
And it would bail out all those pension funds that are woefully
underfunded as their assets soar in value.
And, of course, let’s not forget the economic expediency of people
spending more money, which is as simple as the government passing
legislation to hand out cash to taxpayers and businesses, probably as tax
rebates and tax credits. Whee! Free money everywhere!
How else to explain, thanks to the evil Federal Reserve (and the other
central banks of the world) creating So Damned Much (SDM) cash and credit
over the last three decades (or more precisely, since the horrid Alan
Greenspan started this suicidal crap around 1987) the economic horror-show
is that the stock market (P/E>23), the bond market (yield < zero), the
housing market (>4 x the average income), the student-loan market (over a
trillion dollars), the car-financing market (over a trillion dollars), the
trade deficit of over a half a trillion dollars per year, and the sheer,
absolute festering tonnage of an estimated, eye-popping $170 trillion in
public and private debt extant in the United States and the world, when
the entire GDP of The Whole Freaking world (TWFW) is a paltry third of
that size? The world owes three times as much as it makes already!
And how to explain the pervasive corruption of government and business,
such as (thanks to the work of GATA) the now-proven suppression of gold
prices by systemic fraud, effected through a collusion of commercial
banks, the central banks and the IMF, and yet nobody from the government
has shut it down and thrown them all into some stinking jail?
Unbelievably, such blatant, proven fraud and corruption is still allowed
to go on and on, despite actual admissions of guilt and documentary
evidence!
The mind literally reels! Never, never, ever, ever, EVER (or NEVER if you
prefer) before in history has an economy tolerated such a twisted,
bastardized economy, let alone prospered from it.
Thus, I sadly come to the only conclusion possible: Economics is dead. The
central banks are officially the font from which literally all economic
blessings will now flow, including determining supply and demand (and thus
prices) for equities and assets.
The good news is, if you’re new around here, that investing in equities
should again be a no-brainer for quite a while yet! Always buy, since that
is what the Federal Reserve will do!
The other good news is that gold and silver, and probably oil, will
theoretically prosper much more, especially when the resultant terrifying
inflation in consumer prices finally wipes everybody out, from a real,
inflation-adjusted analysis, even as nominal (dollar-denominated) wealth
increases by leaps and bounds.
Eventually, though, assets will go to zero value, except gold, as has been
the case for all previous episodes of long-term gross mismanagement of
monetary policy.
And the legions of poor people? Bad news there. With no assets, they will
not prosper from the market-levitating magic of the evil Federal Reserve,
but they will pay continually higher and higher prices for everything they
need.
And then they, tired of suffering drab, dreary lives of ever-costlier
privation while listening to The Magnificent Mogambo (TMM) bellowing “I
told you this would happen, chumps!” and laughing in their faces,
“Hahaha!”, will rise up in an angry mob, dominating the nightly news with
videos of brandishing pitchforks and flaming torches, with screaming
hordes demanding that I, Mogambo The Magnificent (MTM), be given full
dictatorial control of the United States to stop this silly crap and
imprison those who are even tangentially responsible.
All hail Emperor Mogambo!
Failing that, I assume that the angry mobs of poor people will demand, as
their second-best option, that the USA return to a gold-standard money, or
even gold-as-money as already required in the Constitution of The United
States.
At least they should. And they surely would, if they had an inkling of
what is happening to them, which they obviously don’t, because if they
did, we would not be in this mess to start with.